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Friday, October 27, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/26/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

We saw some whipsaw action and were quickly stopped out. Unfortunately, the pair went on to hit both of our profit targets... doooooohhhh!!!!!

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/27/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8945, stop at 1.8925, pt1 at 1.8965, pt2 at 1.9000
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8870, stop at 1.8890, pt1 at 1.8850, pt2 at 1.8820

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Thursday, October 26, 2006

Forex Trade Signal – 12:25 am EST 10/26/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8840, stop at 1.8820, pt1 at 1.8860, pt2 at 1.8880
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8790, stop at 1.8810, pt1 at 1.8770, pt2 at 1.87500

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Wednesday, October 25, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/24/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

We're just not seeing the volatility and breakouts that we saw in September that makes these signals work pretty well. Uncertainty in the markets has created this environment and hopefully traders will find clarity after the US interest rate statement tomorrow.


No signals tonight. Because of the FOMC interest rate statement tomorrow we probably won't see the volatility we need for this signal system to work. I may post a trade idea for the FOMC interest statement if a good looking opportunity comes up. Keep an eye for an email update between 12:00 pm EST and 2:00 pm EST if i do.

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Monday, October 23, 2006

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/24/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8755, stop at 1.8735, pt1 at 1.8775, pt2 at 1.8800
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8690, stop at 1.8710, pt1 at 1.8675, pt2 at 1.8610
Also, the second have of my USD/JPY short trade stopped out at breakeven. So, the total pips collected on that one was +60 pips. Hope everyone caught some pips on that trade!!!

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Friday, October 20, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/19/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

We were trigged and then whipsawed to a stop out...

USD/JPY Trade Update:

My trade idea on USD/JPY has hit profit target one at 118.30 for +60 pips. Moved stop on the second half of my position to B/E at 118.90.

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Thursday, October 19, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/18/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -30 pips
Lot 2: -30 pips
Total: -60 pips

Short trade triggered:

Lot 1: -12 pips
Lot 2: -12 pips
Total: -24 pips

Day Total: - 84 pips

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/19/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8720, stop at 1.8700, pt1 at 1.8740, pt2 at 1.8800
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8645, stop at 1.8665, pt1 at 1.8625, pt2 at 1.8600
Important Notice: We are in the process of moving our site to new servers, so the "Pick of the Day" won't be posted on the site until that is completed. You can check out my "Pick of the Day" on various Forex Forums such as ForexFactory.com.

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Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/17/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

We saw some whipsaw action and were quickly stopped out. Unfortunately, the pair went on to hit both of our profit targets... doooooohhhh!!!!!

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/18/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8730, stop at 1.8700, pt1 at 1.8760, pt2 at 1.8790
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8680, stop at 1.8710, pt1 at 1.8650, pt2 at 1.8600

USD/JPY Update: My short trade idea from this week has been triggered, and it is currently +30 pips per lot. Hopefully, we'll see a follow through in price action push the pair much lower... good luck and good trading!

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Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/17/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8650, stop at 1.8670, pt1 at 1.8670, pt2 at 1.8700
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8600, stop at 1.8620, pt1 at 1.8580, pt2 at 1.85450
These entries and exits are different from my "Pick of the Day" at BabyPips.com because I used different rules for these signals. Good luck to everyone and good trading!

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Monday, October 16, 2006

USD/JPY Short Trade Idea:


Short
USD/JPY @ 118.90, stop @ 119.60, pt1 @ 118.30, pt2 117.40

This is a longer term trade idea and you should reduce position size to weather the larger stops and profit targets.

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Sunday, October 15, 2006

USD/JPY Short??????

Here's my argument for a short term bearish trade on USD/JPY:

First, let's take a look at a couple of charts...


We have a daily chart on USD/JPY with bollinger bands and stochastics show possible buyer exhaustion in the pair after the strong move from 116.00 to almost hitting 120.00.


We have a weekly chart on futures positions showing a record net short positions on the Yen.

On the fundamental side, the Bank of Japan hasn't ruled out any future rate hikes, but it's all dependent on future data.

Of course, we have to review potential risk, which is the strong US economy. Last week's US data releases have show the markets that the US economy won't be slowing down anytime soon and that future rate cuts aren't in the books right now.

But, with such a strong move in USD against many of the majors and sideways action in USD/JPY for the past few trading sessions, I will be looking for a short term correction. I'm

I just wanted to give everyone a heads up on what i'm watching right now. Stay tuned for a longer term trade idea on this pair!

Hope everyone had a great weekend!!!

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Thursday, October 12, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/12/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: +20 pips
Lot 2: +00 pips
Total: +20 pips

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Forex Trade Review - 10/11/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

Short trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

Day Total: -80 pips

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/12/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8595, stop at 1.8575, pt1 at 1.8615, pt2 at 1.8645
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8540, stop at 1.8560, pt1 at 1.8520, pt2 at 1.8480

Aussie trade becamse invalid as soon as the Employment number came out way, way more than expected.

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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

AUD/USD Employment Change and Umployment Rate:

At 9:30 pm EST, the Australian Employment data will be release with forecast numbers at -6.0K versus 23.4K. With the hawkish comments from the FOMC today, unless we a strong surprise to the upside, we will probably see a continued drop in this pair. I will probably keep this trade on until later tonight when i post my GBP/USD signals.

Short AUD/USD @ 0.7400, stop @ 0.7420, pt1 @ 0.7380, pt2 @ 0.7360

I will reduce my position size due to the nature of this report. Good luck and good trading!

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Forex Trade Review - 10/10/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -20 pips
Lot 2: -20 pips
Total: -40 pips

Short trade triggered:

Lot 1: +20 pips
Lot 2: +40 pips
Total: +60 pips

Day Total: +20 pips

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/11/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8575, stop at 1.8555, pt1 at 1.8595, pt2 at 1.8640
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8520, stop at 1.8540, pt1 at 1.8500, pt2 at 1.8460


Longer Term sell on USD/JPY is no longer valid.

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Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Forex Trade Signal – 12:46 am EST 10/10/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8690, stop at 1.8670, pt1 at 1.8710, pt2 at 1.8740
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8640, stop at 1.8660, pt1 at 1.8620, pt2 at 1.8600
Sorry for the late post. I was caught up in a reply to a fellow forum poster at www.forexfactory.com. They asked why I don't use a set system or indicators for my "Pick of the Day".. if ya'll are intersted in my answer, check out my post here.

I still like my longer term pick on my previous post. Looking at price action alone, it seems that the N. Korean Missle test was not enough to push USD/JPY higher in the asian session. We'll see what happens when the euro and US trading session opens. Until then, good luck and good trading!!! :)

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Sunday, October 08, 2006

Forex Trade - 10/08/06

Here's a longer term trade idea:


Short USD/JPY @ 118. 70, stop @ 119.25, pt1 @ 118.10, pt2 @ 117.50


Here we have an hourly chart of USD/JPY. I was checking out the COT data on both the USD and JPY. While the futures positioning of USD looks pretty neutral, the futures postitioning in the Yen is in "super oversold territory" - that's professional trader lingo btw ;) On the chart above, we see the pair made a run from 116.00 to 119.00. I see a short term overbought market with this extended run and stochastics showing overbought as well. So, we'll go short and it may take a few days to hit max profitability.

The sentiment has been pro USD for the past few trading sessions, but maybe we'll see if the USD sentiment changes this week with a few key economic releases like the US Trade Balance and Retail Sales this week. We also have key economic releases out of Japan with Trade Balance and Current Account on Wednesday, Consumer confidence on Thursday, and Interest Rate Statement and BOJ Monetary Policy Report on Friday. We also have geopolitical risk as the North Korean nuclear test may weaken the Yen. This should be an interesting week!!

Also, on the BabyPips front we have a few new things...Pip Diddy is going on hiatus with his Chart Analysis. He's been called on a super secret pip mission for the President, so we may not see him again until the new BabyPips.com is released. Big Pippin will be taking on his chart analysis duties, and with his massive Pippin skills we'll see something new and exciting! Check out Big Pippin's skills at http://www.babypips.com/forex-analysis/pippinainteasy.htm

Good luck and good trading!!

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Friday, October 06, 2006

For my "Pick of the Day" my market order was stopped out. Doh! I will remove my entry orders since the current market price is almost 100 pips away from my entry. Have a great weekend everyone and be ready to trade next week!

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Thursday, October 05, 2006

Hey everyone...sorry for all the email alerts. I was making some adjustments to the blog and trying to fix this email thing, so at least five or six emails went out today. Oooopsss!!

Well, there won't be a signal tonight, but I did post up a nice little trade at BabyPips.com. Just click on the link to the right that says "My Daily Picks" to check it out! If an adjustment needs to be made to that trade, I will post again here tomorrow morning. Hopefully it works out for all of us.

Good luck, good trading, and have a great weekend!!!

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Forex Trade Review - 10/05/06

Short trade triggered:

Lot 1: +20 pips
Lot 2: +30 pips
Total: +50 pips

We had a great day with the signal, but it could've been better. I noticed that my second profit target on the short trade was only 10 pips more. haha. I've been sick lately, so while I was OD'ing on night time cough syrup and fighting sleep I didn't notice that small error. We still made good on the trade though, it just could have been more.

On a side note, we see a nice little uptick in oil and gold this morning. With my "Pick of the Day" - which unfortunately got stopped out this morning - I decided to short USD/CAD. I still like a short on this pair for the longer term if oil and gold continues to rise. We'll see if USD/CAD is able to rise above and stay above the 1.1300 level. If not, I'm staying bearish on this pair.

Tonight's signal maybe coming out a little early again tonight as I will be going out of town this evening. I may even hold off tonight's signal and post a market order tomorrow morning before tomorrow's big report - Non-Farm Payrolls number! The ADP report came in at 78K, and forecast for NFP is around 125K. We'll see how the market sets up before this report before I decide on how I want to trade it. So, stay tuned!

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Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Forex Trade Review - 10/04/06

Short trade triggered:

Lot 1: +20 pips
Lot 2: +00 pips
Total: +20 pips

Forex Trade Signal – 12:00 am EST 10/05/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8875, stop at 1.8855, pt1 at 1.8900, pt2 at 1.8940
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8840, stop at 1.8860, pt1 at 1.8820, pt2 at 1.8810

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Forex Trade Review - 10/03/06

Long trade triggered:

Lot 1: -12 pips
Lot 2: -12 pips
Total: -28 pips

Long trade triggered and missed pt1 by one pip several times! grrr... we eventually closed out both lots at 12:00 pm EST at a loss of -12 pips per lot

Forex Trade Signal – 12:30 am EST 10/04/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8910, stop at 1.8890, pt1 at 1.8930, pt2 at 1.8950
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8820, stop at 1.8840, pt1 at 1.8800, pt2 at 1.8750

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Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Forex Trade Signal – 12:45 am EST 10/03/06
  • Long GBP/USD at 1.8880, stop at 1.8860, pt1 at 1.8900, pt2 at 1.8935
  • Short GBP/USD at 1.8840, stop at 1.8860, pt1 at 1.8820, pt2 at 1.8780

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Sunday, October 01, 2006

Forex Trade Results

Forex Trade Results: 10/10/06 - 10/13/06
Tuesday: +20 pips
Wednesday: -80 pips
Thursday: -4 pips
Friday: No pick posted
GBP/USD Total: -64 pips

Forex Trade Results: 10/03/06 - 10/06/06
Tuesday: -28 pips
Wednesday: +20 pips
Thursday: +50 pips
Friday: No pick posted
GBP/USD Total: +42 pips

Forex Trade Results: 09/26/06 - 09/29/06
Tuesday: -40 pips
Wednesday: -44 pips
Thursday: +105 pips
Friday: No pick posted
GBP/USD Total: +25 pips

Forex Trade Results: 09/19/06 - 09/22/06
Tuesday: -80 pips
Wednesday: No trade
Thursday: +60 pips
Friday: +38 pips
GBP/USD Total: +18 pips

Forex Trade Results: 09/11/06 - 09/15/06

Tuesday: +30 pips
Wednesday: +14 pips
Thursday: -40 pips
Friday: +90 pips
GBP/USD Total: +94 pips

Forex Trade Results: 09/04/06 - 09/08/06

Tuesday: +70 pips
Wednesday: +70 pips
Thursday: -50 pips
Friday: No trade
GBP/USD Total: +90 pips

Forex Trade Results: 06/19/06 - 06/23/06

USD/CHF
Monday: +24 pips
Tuesday: -56 pips
Wednesday: -02 pips
Thursday: +40 pips
Friday: +62 pips
USD/CHF Total: +68 pips

GBP/USD
Monday: +12 pips
Tuesday: -170 pips
Wednesday: -66 pips
Thursday: +40 pips
Friday: +55 pips
GBP/USD Total: -129 pips

Forex Trade Results: 06/05/06 - 06/09/06

USD/CHF
Monday: No Trade
Tuesday: +19 pips
Wednesday: +18 pips
Thursday: +0 pips
Friday: No trade
USD/CHF Total: +37 pips

GBP/USD
Monday: No trade
Tuesday: +119 pips
Wednesday: +25 pips
Thursday: +71 pips
Friday: No trade
GBP/USD Total: +215 pips

Forex Trade Results: 05/29/06 - 06/02/06

USD/CHF
Monday: -66 pips
Tuesday: +25 pips
Wednesday: +30 pips
Thursday: -196 pips
Friday: No trade
USD/CHF Total: -207 pips

GBP/USD
Monday: -66 pips
Tuesday: +46 pips
Wednesday: -80 pips
Thursday: +20 pips
Friday: No trade
GBP/USD Total: -80 pips


Forex Trade Results: May
Please note: dual signals began tracking on 05/22/06. These results are not for the full month of May.

USD/CHF: +102 pips
GBP/USD: +120 pips

Forex Trade Results: 05/22/06 - 05/26/06

USD/CHF
Monday: -33 pips
Tuesday: +57 pips
Wednesday: +117 pips
Thursday: No trades triggered
Friday: -28 pips
USD/CHF Total: +113 pips

GBP/USD
Monday: +129 pips
Tuesday: -90 pips
Wednesday: +121 pips
Thursday: -51
Friday: +111 pips
GBP/USD Total: +220 pips


Forex Trade Results: 05/15/06 - 05/19/06

Monday: +48 pips
Tuesday: +20 pips
Wednesday: +53 pips
Thursday: -66 pips
Friday: +19 pips
Total: +74 pips

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Currency trading involves substantial risk of loss, and thus is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider your financial situation before opening a trading account, and only risk capital should be used when trading in these markets. In addition, we recommend you consult your financial advisor to help you determine if currency trading is appropriate for you. Pipcrawler does not provide personal trading advice, and nothing contained in this web site should be construed as personalized trading advice. Although Pipcrawler obtains his information from sources that it deems reliable, no warranty can be given as to the accuracy or the completeness of any of the information provided or as to the results obtained by those using such information. While we believe the information contained herein is accurate, Pipcrawler or his affiliates cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of the information, the timeliness of the transmissions, errors or omissions in the transmission of such information. Any reliance on the information contained within this website in making investment decisions is solely at the risk of the user, and each user shall be solely responsible for any and all losses resulting from such investments. In no event shall Pipcrawler be liable for any direct, indirect, actual, special or consequential damage or losses resulting from the use of the information provided herein.